Sometimes I think the world is going all to hell. That humanity has plunged into an abyss from which there is no escape. And while the worst is yet to come, much of it is already here. There is the worst conventional war in Europe since 1945 due to Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine which shows no sign of ending anytime soon. There is the Israel-Hamas War which has the Middle East teetering on the brink of a region wide conflict. Relations between the United States and China are the worst since their reestablishment in 1972. The chance of a war between the two superpowers over Taiwan continues to grow. Abraham Lincoln said during the American Civil War that “If there is a worse place than hell, then I am in it.” The world is not quite there yet but is getting closer by the day. Many remain cautiously optimistic that we can be brought back from the brink of our own self-destruction. That remains to be seen.
A period of global instability the likes of which has not been seen in almost eighty years threatens to upend the established global order. The rules which have defined international relations since the end of World War II are facing an unprecedented number of major threats. The world could get caught up in a cascading series of crises that devolve into chaos. Once chaos starts, there is no telling where it will end. All the current geopolitical problems could expand into something much worse. Drawing more countries into a cauldron of chaos. All this makes me believe that the world is going all to hell. That is until I look back into history and see that the world has survived much worse.
On the brink – Teschen in 1918 (Credit: National Library of Poland)
Grave Danger – Bordering On Anarchy
When conversation turns to the worst periods in modern history, the First and Second World Wars dominate the discussion. They are the most striking examples of horrific history in relatively recent times. The focus on World Wars I and II leaves little room for discussion of other periods that were chaotic and dangerous. Just the other day, I came across a conflict that was symptomatic of a period when the world was suffering through a prolonged period of chaos. This made me realize that the current challenges facing us today could be much worse. It also made me realize that anarchy can quickly consume a once civilized world. The conflict I came across does not even merit a footnote in most history books. The Polish-Czechoslovak War (Seven-Day War) took place in January 1919. I doubt many people other than Poles, Czechs, and Slovaks have even heard of the war. I am sure that fewer of them have heard of it than other troubling events in their nation’s tumultuous 20th century history.
I first came across the Polish-Czechoslovak War while reading Paris 1919 by Margaret McMillan. That book delves deeply into the messy aftermath of the First World War which resulted in a series of treaties that failed to bring lasting peace to Europe and the Middle East. When I came across the conflict between Poland and Czechoslovakia, I was surprised to find the two nations at odds with one another. They tragically became caught up in the free for all that accompanied disputed territories across Eastern Europe. The Polish-Czechoslovak war was small in scale and short in duration. Yet it would poison relations between two nations in dire need of one another after Hitler rose to power.
Off to another war – Czechoslovak legionaries from France in Teschen
Grave Danger – Fighting For Supremacy
The inability of smaller states in Eastern Europe to ally in the face of grave danger had tragic consequences. The same kind of situation exists today with the Ukraine-Russia War. Smaller European Union member states such as Hungary and Slovakia are led by governments that either actively or passively support the Kremlin. Their recalcitrance in confronting the existential threat of Russian neo-imperialism could have serious consequences for not only Ukraine, but Hungary, Slovakia, and Europe as a whole. Eastern Europe is at an inflection point. It could either succumb to authoritarianism or lock in the democratic gains the region has made since the Iron Curtain fell. While Eastern Europe is in a dangerous situation today, this pales in comparison to the period that followed the First World War. Unfortunately, the region came out of that period divided and weakened. Efforts to create stability only served to increase it.
There are some nations in Eastern Europe which I automatically pair up in my mind as prone to cross-border conflicts. I base these upon their histories. Among them are Poland and Ukraine, Russia and any European nation with which it shares a border, Serbia and Croatia or Bosnia, Croatia and Bosnia, Hungary and Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey, Greece and Turkey. The list is long and riddled with wars, fractious relations, and border disputes. Two nations which I would not pair up in this manner are Poland and Czechoslovakia (Czech Republic and Slovakia). I always think of these two countries as the good guys of the period from 1918 – 1989. They suffered grave injustices due to communism, fascism, and nationalism. Yet it was the latter that caused trouble between Poland and Czechoslovakia.
Worth fighting for – Postcard of Teschen prior to World War I (Credit: Eduard Feitzinger)
Border Control – Dangerous Disputes
Eastern Europe was filled with numerous ethnic groups of various sizes. This was the legacy of large, sprawling empires that ruled over vast swaths of the region. Trying to decide which ethnic groups ended up in which newly formed nation in 1919 was a process fraught with difficulties. These decisions were not just made by the treaty negotiators back in Paris. Boots on the ground mattered just as much. In some cases, they mattered more. Economic interests, infrastructure, and natural resources further exacerbated disagreements over where to set borders. This all too often pointed the way to armed conflict. Self-interest over collective interest has always been a source of tension in inter-state relations. This was never truer than in post-World War I Eastern Europe with every nation focused on looking out for itself. With Poland reborn as an independent nation and Czechoslovakia a newly formed one, both were struggling to figure out how they would survive in the postwar world. This led them into armed conflict. In a remote corner of northwestern Slovakia, they fought for control of Teschen Silesia.
Click here for: Opportunity Costs – Trying To Take Teschen (Polish-Czechoslovak War #2)